At 1.00pm EST, the center of Hurricane Paloma was located near
latitude 18.4 north...longitude 81.3 west or about 60 miles south of
Grand Cayman and about 220 miles west of Montego Bay, Jamaica.
Paloma
is moving toward the north–northeast near 6 mph. A gradual turn toward
the northeast is expected Friday night and Saturday.
On the
currently forecast track, the center of Paloma will pass near the
Cayman Islands Friday night or early Saturday and be approaching the
coast of central Cuba late Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have
increased to near 90 mph with higher gusts. Paloma is a Category 1
hurricane on the Saffir–Simpson scale. Further strengthening is likely
and Paloma is expected to become a Category 2 hurricane later today and
possibly reach category three intensity late Friday or on Saturday.
Data
from the NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that hurricane force
winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the centre...and tropical
storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles.
The latest
minimum central pressure estimated from a noaa hurricane hunter plane
is 974 MB, a five MB drop off from the last report.
Storm surge
flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large
and dangerous battering waves...is expected near the center of Paloma
in the Cayman Islands.
Paloma is expected to produce total
rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over the Cayman Islands and
central and eastern Cuba with isolated maximum totals of 15 inches
possible. Flash flood and mudslides are also possible.